AI Market Intelligence

Model forecasts, verified evidence, and runtime context translated into structured market briefs.

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Market Pulse

Primary Focus
ETHUSDT
Bias
NEUTRAL
Model Agreement
100%
High
Expected Move (H=1)
-0.41%
Evidence Quality
Medium
Reason: direction accuracy 49.9%
Runtime Status
Monitoring
No open exposure

Market at a Glance

2 market tickers synced
Ξ

ETHUSDT — AI Market Brief

Timeframe: H=1 (1 Day)Last Update: Jun 20, 2026

A. Current Model View

Direction / BiasNEUTRAL
Expected Move-0.41%
Forecast Close$1,704.14
Reference Close$1,711.19
IssuedJun 19, 2026
TargetJun 20, 2026
Model Agreement100%
Active ModelOrion-II · Fusion-3A · Fusion-3N · Astra-II (in Fusion-3N)
Forecast vs Reference
1,7111,7091,7061,704recenttarget

B. Historical Reliability (ETHUSDT H=1)

Verified Forecast Rows3,240
Verified Days180
Models in Pool18
Avg Error (MAPE)2.61%
Median Error1.74%
Direction Accuracy49.91%
Touch Rate (Hit)72.01%
Recent MAPE2.28%
Days with Avg Error <1%37.5%
Forecast Rows <1% Error38.9%
Summary: Evidence 180d. Charts: overview recent rows (144 rows). Daily sub-1% uses average day error; row sub-1% uses individual forecast rows.
Direction Accuracy Trend
90%48%5%06-12: 66.7%06-13: 83.3%06-14: 22.2%06-15: 11.1%06-16: 27.8%06-17: 44.4%06-18: 61.1%06-19: 77.8%recent verified days
Hover points to see direction accuracy %.
Error Distribution
38.9%
<1%
19.4%
1–2%
15.3%
2–3%
21.5%
3–5%
4.9%
>5%

C. Scenario Map

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Base Scenario (60%)

Models keep a NEUTRAL bias while price behavior remains consistent with the reference area near $1,711.19. Target context: $1,704.14.

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Range Extension (25%)

A stronger range-bound extension is supported only if agreement stays firm and recent error does not expand materially.

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Breakout / Invalidation Risk (15%)

The scenario weakens if price rejects the forecast path, volatility expands sharply, or evidence quality deteriorates against the downside path.

D. Risk Context

⚡Volatility RiskNormal
▣News / Event RiskMedium
⇄Spread RiskMedium
⌁Model AgreementHigh
↯Historical Acc. (Dir.)Moderate
〽Recent Model TrendStable
Overall Risk: MEDIUM

E. Analyst Note

ETHUSDT shows a neutral model bias for the next daily target, with expected move -0.41% and model agreement is 100%. Historical evidence quality is medium, so the useful value is in combining current direction with verified error history, volatility context, and runtime filters.

This is research context, not a trade signal.

What Changed Since Last Update

↑
Bias Change
SHORT → NEUTRAL
↑
Expected Move
-1.29% → -0.41%
↑
Model Agreement
current 100%
=
Recent MAPE
1.29% → 2.28%
=
Runtime Status
Monitoring → Monitoring

Model Reliability Snapshot (ETHUSDT H+1)

ModelDirection Acc.Avg ErrorRecent MAPETouch RateTrend
Orion-II · standalone53.33%1.99%1.62%91.11%
Fusion-3A55.56%2.03%1.44%83.33%
Vega-II · in Fusion-3A52.22%2.06%1.53%70.00%
Fusion-3B54.44%2.12%1.48%80.00%
Nova-II · in Fusion-454.44%2.13%1.48%67.78%
View full evidence →

Weekly AI Research Brief

Computed from public Evidence summary and 90d model leaderboard. It does not mean an asset is a trading signal.
ⓘ
Lowest Avg Error
BTCUSDT · 1.99% MAPE
✕
Highest Avg Error
ETHUSDT · 2.61% MAPE
◎
Best Direction Accuracy
ETHUSDT · 49.91% direction
⇅
Weakest Direction Accuracy
BTCUSDT · 48.15% direction
≋
Most Stable Model
Orion-II · BTCUSDT · 1.56% MAPE
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Where Runtime Filtered Out
BTCUSDT
⌬
Where Models Disagreed
No major disagreement in public forecast pool
◈
Strongest Agreement
BTCUSDT · 100%
▣
Evidence Note
Lowest MAPE is not the same as strongest trading signal; direction accuracy, touch rate, runtime state, and risk must be read separately.
View full weekly report →
What ProsQuant is not
Research output, not an investment instruction.
Not financial adviceNot a black-box signal sellerNot a profit guaranteeNot a broker or execution venue
Research only. Not financial advice. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.