AI Market Intelligence

Model forecasts, verified evidence, and runtime context translated into structured market briefs.

⌁

Market Pulse

Primary Focus
BTCUSDT
Bias
NEUTRAL
Model Agreement
100%
High
Expected Move (H=1)
+0.39%
Evidence Quality
Medium
Reason: direction accuracy 49.0%
Runtime Status
Monitoring
No open exposure

Market at a Glance

2 market tickers synced
₿

BTCUSDT — AI Market Brief

Timeframe: H=1 (1 Day)Last Update: Nov 3, 2026

A. Current Model View

Direction / BiasNEUTRAL
Expected Move+0.39%
Forecast Close$77,112.22
Reference Close$76,816
IssuedNov 2, 2026
TargetNov 3, 2026
Model Agreement100%
Active ModelNova-II (in Fusion-4) · Fusion-4 · Orion-II · Fusion-3B · Astra-II (in Fusion-3B)
Forecast vs Reference
77,11277,01376,91576,816recenttarget

B. Historical Reliability (BTCUSDT H=1)

Verified Forecast Rows3,240
Verified Days180
Models in Pool18
Avg Error (MAPE)1.61%
Median Error1.21%
Direction Accuracy49.04%
Touch Rate (Hit)66.85%
Recent MAPE1.78%
Days with Avg Error <1%37.5%
Forecast Rows <1% Error48.6%
Summary: Evidence 180d. Charts: overview recent rows (144 rows). Daily sub-1% uses average day error; row sub-1% uses individual forecast rows.
Direction Accuracy Trend
100%53%5%10-26: 11.1%10-27: 44.4%10-28: 94.4%10-29: 50.0%10-30: 33.3%10-31: 83.3%11-01: 66.7%11-02: 33.3%recent verified days
Hover points to see direction accuracy %.
Error Distribution
48.6%
<1%
22.9%
1–2%
9.7%
2–3%
16.0%
3–5%
2.8%
>5%

C. Scenario Map

+

Base Scenario (60%)

Models keep a NEUTRAL bias while price behavior remains consistent with the reference area near $76,816. Target context: $77,112.22.

+

Range Extension (25%)

A stronger range-bound extension is supported only if agreement stays firm and recent error does not expand materially.

!

Breakout / Invalidation Risk (15%)

The scenario weakens if price rejects the forecast path, volatility expands sharply, or evidence quality deteriorates against the downside path.

D. Risk Context

⚡Volatility RiskNormal
▣News / Event RiskMedium
⇄Spread RiskLow
⌁Model AgreementHigh
↯Historical Acc. (Dir.)Moderate
〽Recent Model TrendStable
Overall Risk: MEDIUM

E. Analyst Note

BTCUSDT shows a neutral model bias for the next daily target, with expected move +0.39% and model agreement is 100%. Historical evidence quality is medium, so the useful value is in combining current direction with verified error history, volatility context, and runtime filters.

This is research context, not a trade signal.

What Changed Since Last Update

↑
Bias Change
LONG → NEUTRAL
↑
Expected Move
+2.28% → +0.39%
↑
Model Agreement
current 100%
=
Recent MAPE
4.33% → 1.78%
=
Runtime Status
Monitoring → Monitoring

Model Reliability Snapshot (BTCUSDT H+1)

ModelDirection Acc.Avg ErrorRecent MAPETouch RateTrend
Fusion-456.67%1.32%0.89%82.22%
Astra-II · in Fusion-462.22%1.37%0.92%67.78%
Helix-II · standalone51.11%1.40%0.87%78.89%
Nova-II · in Fusion-3C51.11%1.41%0.82%75.56%
Fusion-3B53.33%1.44%0.92%71.11%
View full evidence →

Weekly AI Research Brief

Computed from public Evidence summary and 90d model leaderboard. It does not mean an asset is a trading signal.
ⓘ
Lowest Avg Error
BTCUSDT · 1.61% MAPE
✕
Highest Avg Error
ETHUSDT · 2.03% MAPE
◎
Best Direction Accuracy
ETHUSDT · 52.16% direction
⇅
Weakest Direction Accuracy
BTCUSDT · 49.04% direction
≋
Most Stable Model
Fusion-4 · BTCUSDT · 1.32% MAPE
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Where Runtime Filtered Out
BTCUSDT
⌬
Where Models Disagreed
No major disagreement in public forecast pool
◈
Strongest Agreement
BTCUSDT · 100%
▣
Evidence Note
Lowest MAPE is not the same as strongest trading signal; direction accuracy, touch rate, runtime state, and risk must be read separately.
View full weekly report →
What ProsQuant is not
Research output, not an investment instruction.
Not financial adviceNot a black-box signal sellerNot a profit guaranteeNot a broker or execution venue
Research only. Not financial advice. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.